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Archive for April, 2010

The most exciting 2 minutes in all of sports will take place this weekend with the 136th running of the Kentucky Derby.  Five days ago this years version looked to be a one horse race with Eskendereya clearly head and shoulders above this years crop of 3 year olds. Unfortunately a leg injury forced his connections to withdraw their golden ticket. Awesome for us. This race is now wide open with tons of prices. Check out the breakdown and lets spend Saturday night making it rain.

Churchill Downs-Race 11-Kentucky Derby-G1

Lookin at Lucky (3-1): ML favorite with the departure of Eskendereya. Dreaded 1 post hasn’t finished in the money in the Kentucky Derby since 1988. Champion 2 year old always fires but has encountered troubled trips throughout the prep season including last time out finishing 3rd in the Santa Anita Derby. The setup is sure to suit this one but any trouble breaking from that position and Lookin at Lucky will not be a factor. I try to avoid favorites especially ones with in tough spots. Working out well but not worth it at 3-1.

Ice Box (10-1): Coming off a huge effort last time out winning the Florida Derby returning $20.70. With the pace sure to be hot, Ice Box figures to be in contention down the stretch. Seems to have a nose for the wire as witnessed by outdueling rivals down the stretch on multiple occasions. Doubters question the class of the Florida Derby. I see the pace to be similar and this one having a shot.

Noble’s Promise (12-1): Quality horse that is nothing but conistent. However you have to question the distance here especially after coming off a minor procedure to fix a lung problem. Has lost ground down the stretch in 3 of the last 4. Possible as he’s a warrior but the red flags will make me look elsewhere.

Super Saver (15-1): Calvin Borel aboard who has won 2 of the last 3 Derby’s. Match that with Super Saver having success at Churchill winning last years Kentucky JC and you have alot to like. Broke his maiden by 7 lengths on a wet track last September at Belmont. If Borel can keep him away from contesting whats sure to be a hot pace, I think Super Saver can last the distance and steal one at 15-1.

Line of David (30-1): Have him ranked as a Top Speed horse along with Sidney’s Candy and Conveyance. I usually throw out Top Speed horses if more than 2 are present. Will set the pace but no way goes gate to wire like he did last time out in the Arkansas Derby. Not touching.

Stately Victor (30-1): Shocked in the Blue Grass on the synthetic returning $40.10. Has everyone scrambling to see if that effort was a fluke. Stood out during his workouts and could be a Mine That Bird from Derby 135  candidate. Needs to prove he can repeat that effort on the dirt. Pedigree suggests turf but this closer is worth a sniff.

American Lion (30-1): Illinois Derby winner in his dirt debut although with the slowest fractions of all the prep races. I rank him as a Speed horse slightly below the Top Speed category. No way Saturdays race sets up like the one in Illinois. Can’t see him having the gas in the tank to finish that 10th furlong. Will lean elsewhere.

Dean Kitten’s (50-1): Throwaway. One dirt start in 11 career races finishing 33 plus lengths back. This one’s a turf horse. No way.

Make Music For Me (50-1): Snuck in last second when Endorsement fractured his right front ankle during Wednesday’s final workout. Making his dirt debut after a poor effort last time out in the Blue Grass. Asking alot.

Paddy O’Prado (20-1): Opened up eyes with a bullet workout over the slop last Friday. Ran out of gas in the Blue Grass and pedigree suggests the turf but worth some love in the exotics play.

Devil May Care (10-1): Pletchers filly will try her luck against the boys. Tough call. Might be alot to ask for but she’s handled herself well during workouts and has had success on the slop breaking her maiden going away. Last filly to win was Winning Colors in 1988. Im going to monitor the line and take a flyer on her fine ass if she’s an underlay.

Conveyance (12-1): I already stated I throw out Top Speed horses if there’s more than 2. I like the horse but have to stick by my guns. You’ll see him battling out front probably to the stretch but would have to run the race of his life to survive that 10th furlong.

Jackson Bend (15-1): 9 starts. 5 wins and 4 places. All on dirt. You have to respect the fact that he fires every time out but some of those 2nd’s might be deceiving seeing as he placed 8 and 9 plus lengths back behind Eskendereya in the Fountain of Youth and Wood Memorial.  Might be a victim of the pace.

Mission Impazible (20-1): On the board in all 5 career starts including a strong finish taking the Louisiana Derby last time out. The distance seems right and with a clean trip this one could give Todd Pletcher his first Derby title. Intriguing.

Discreetly Mine (30-1): Nice horse but wrong race. I just don’t like speed horses in this one. Will be contesting the pace but just can’t see him being a factor. Like other long shots better.

Awesome Act (10-1): My pick to upset Eskendereya in the Wood which ended up going over like a fart in church. Encountered a troubled trip and couldn’t overtake Jackson Bend for the place. However I liked him in that one for a reason and still like him here. Won the Gotham at a pace he’s sure to see in the Derby. Also made his way though traffic to prevail. Making his 3rd start off a layoff so very possible we get a big effort. Sexy pick but I have to find it within myself to forgive him for the Wood.

Dublin (12-1): Looks to be regressing after a some poor workouts this past week. Battled tested and trained by D. Wayne Lucas are positives but too many red flags for me to consider. Wouldn’t be considered a shock but I’m laying off.

Backtalk (50-1): Might take to the wet track well but a big step up in class for this one. Career high Beyer of 87. Probably should not have been entered.

Homeboykris (50-1): Enters the Derby having not run since late February and has yet to race past 2 turns. Like him out of all the other 50-1’s due to his connections. Will give him a sniff. Remember Mine that Bird won last year at the same odds.

Sidney’s Candy (5-1): My boy Smokin’ Joe Talamo on board. I like the horse and I don’t look at the 20 post as a red flag. Big Brown won from 2o back in 2008 with ease. I just can’t see top speed horses, or any speed horses for that matter winning this race. The fractions are sure to be hot which sets up the race perfectly for the closers. He’s been the most impressive horse during the prep season (with the exception of Eskendereya) winning his last 3 races going gate to wire. With the short price and the fact that I have I’ve had success in the past with my speed rankings, Im going to be passing on this one. I hope Talamo doesn’t defriend me on the Book.

Hope you find my analysis to be helpful. I’ll post my official picks sometime Saturday. I need to see the condition of the track. Looks like rain.

-Dags

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Wow, what an exciting 1st round of games, 7 out of 8 series went at least 6 games and 2 game 7’s. I swept the East picks, even though Pitt gave us a scare. Hopefully you guys put a small play on the Habs. The West was a rollercoaster ride that ended with a crash. All 4 teams were up 2-1 and then the higher seeds took over. We went 1-12 and lost every series. We will take our net +$123 and move to the second round.
In the West:
1) SJ -100
5) Detroit -110

This series opened at SJ -140 and the early money is on Detroit. SJ advanced even though their top line did nothing. Nabakov was a little shaky but did enough to win. The Wings looked great at times, but also surprisingly got outplayed at home twice by the Coyotes. These teams are very hard to read and this has the makings of a long series. Will Joe Thornton score a goal?

Final wager: SJ risk $165 to win $150.

2) Chicago -135
3) Vancouver +115

This is rematch from last year’s 2nd round where I won money on the Hawks winning in 6. Chicago scored in bunches last round, but Niemi was less than stellar between the pipes. Luongo outplayed Quick and was the difference in their first round win. The Canucks offense was on fire in games 4-6 and have a ton of confidence. On paper, this should be the most exciting series of the 2nd round.

Final wager: Chicago risk $200 to win $150.

In the East:
4) Pitt -525
8) Montreal +400

Pitt scared me in the first round, but came back from 0-3 for the ot 4-3 win. Montreal surprised the hockey world coming back from 3-1 and winning 2 games on the road. Halak put in the performance of the playoffs in games 5-7, including 50+ saves in game 6.

Ginal wager: Nothing, staying away again because of the outrageous moneyline and I refuse to bet money on the Habs. Halak at +400 is a great value pick.

6) Boston -135
7) Philly +115

The B’s are writing thank you letters to the Canadians this morning. The match-ups continue to fall into place for this team and they are handed home ice as a 6 seed. Tuukka put in the 2nd best performance of the first round and now he goes up against a Philly team without 2 of its top scorers. This is going to be a tough fought series and expect to see some old-time hockey from these 2 old rivals. Rask vs Mt St Charles’s Brian Boucher is a clear advantage for the B’s and return of Savard should have the Garden rocking on Saturday.

Final wager: Boston risk $200 to win $150

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So last week I threw up a half assed golf prediction post.  I was pressed for time because I was away doing my ‘day job’ and wanted to get at least a couple golfers down on paper.  As predicted a no name won the Zurich Classic Open. Jason Bohn, won for just the 2nd time in his career, he was a wire to wire winner too, impressive.  One of my predictions was that someone from the Field -220 would win, but I got the memo too late that My Guy switched sites, so I didn’t get my bet in, excuses, excuses, I know, blow me.

Unfortunately, I am strapped for time again this week and have not researched the Quail Hollow Open.  I feel like George Clooney from Up in The Air, minus the part where a hot Milf meets me in random cities to have sex and the well-organized suitcase, my suitcase looks like Men’s Warehouse vomited into it.

I’m actually typing this draft on a flight somewhere between Kansas City Mo and Cleveland Ohio.  Seth, what the fuck were you doing in Kansas City?  Well, I wish i could say I was presenting the value the proposition of bigrips.wordpress.com (soon to be just bigrips.com or hugerips.com) to about 50 people, but instead I was doing my ‘day job.’  Maybe next time I’ll throw a subliminal slide into my presentation that reads, BIGRIPS.WORDPRESS.COM, kind of like the quick glimpse of the dick you see in the movie Fight Club.

When you fly from a place like KC to Cleveland you see some pretty weird shit.  Like right now I am sitting next to a lady, who is kind of cute, she is reading Bowhunting Magazine.   It’s not like a one off that she found in the back of the seat, she actually has two copies.  Also, I went to get BBQ last night at a place called Oklahoma Joe’s in Kansas City, Mo.  The place was jammed, the wait was nearly 2 hours.  The weird part is that Oklahoma Joe’s is a sit down restaurant inside of a gas station and there was bar there.  You just don’t see stuff like this in Boston.

So in the next 30 minutes I should be touching down in Cleveland, awesome.  I’ve never been and do not plan on coming back, it is only a layover.  I hope during my 45 minutes there that I run into either,  Lebron James or Ricky Vaughn, the Wild Thing would be cooler.  But I have a plan if I see Lebron.  I’ll pull a Bernard Pollard and tumble into his leg, hopefully tearing his ACL/MCL/Meniscus and breaking his Femur so he can’t play against the C’s next round.  But I digress (I actually said this during my presentation copying the commercial on TV right now) it wasn’t nearly as funny as the commercial.  So on to my my golf predictions.  The field is stacked this week, Tiger is officially back, Phil, Poulter, Furyk the whole crew.  I am going with these guys this week.

Tiger Woods +300, He wins this.  The Masters was for show, he didn’t have his game yet.  The last three weeks he has been severing his ties with Elin and focusing on taking over the golf world once again (and probably banging dirty chicks)

Phil +1000, I’ve got a soft spot for Phil after his Masters victory, it was in my top three favorite tournaments to watch ever.  In no particular order the other two were the US Open with Tiger and Rocco Mediate 2008 and 2005 Masters with Tigers and the Nike Putt on 16.

Furyk +1800, has done very well here, 4 top 11 finishes in the last 5 years

Nick Watney +3300, great player, did well at the Masters

Hunter Mahan +3500, pretty much taking Hunter every tourney this year.  I think he wins another 3 events and I don’t want to miss out on free money

Good luck and Welcome Dags to Bigrips.wordpress.com (soon to be just bigrips.com) I am psyched.

-SD

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Dudes,

My loyal followers, I have some good news. I’m happy to introduce a College buddy of mine to Big Rips. Without question he is a gambling expert in all sports, but has a solid Expertise in Horse racing. Something Big Rips needs. We will be in the presence of greatness, I promise you. He comes to us with his own following. This is a blessing.

College was a long time ago, But Dags was an excellent baseball player but an even better drinker/partier and Beirut player. I’m psyched he’s on board.

It’s been awhile. I’m in my off season, but every now and then I see  something I like.  Taking a big bet tonight

Cardinals -150 over Braves(Kenshin Kawakami) ** 30 unit play** Kenshin will be a Sushi chef at Bamboo before the season is out. I promise you. Pujols might hit 5 homers off the dude.

Record: 198-148

30 unit play record: 65-40

NCAA Tourney 30 unit play record: 19-11

College football bowl record: 17-10

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The Giants coaching staff. Fire them all. Lincecum gave up one run through 9 and 1/3 and is up 4-1. He gives up one walk so there is a man on first and they take him out. You can guess what happens there. Philly gets a few singles, doubles, and gets 3 runs to tie it up. Phillies go on to win it in extra innings. Nothing pisses me off more than taking a great pitcher and then shitty coaching snatching your winnings right out of your pocket.
Oh there is one other thing. Giants outfielder Valez who gave up the two extra inning runs on a makeable catch and then pop up error. That makes me just as mad.

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Ok so last night I posted my one way Twitter banter that I had Jose Canseco which you can read here.  As promised I emailed his yahoo address inquiring about Spending a Day with Jose.  I just received a reply back and for only $1100 you can hang out with Jose for 5/hrs, bilking, bowling and going to the beach. Oh, and my favorite, boxing…awesome.  Hmmm, actually not a bad deal.  If I were to do this I would choose a 5 hour block of time from say midnight to 5am in Las Vegas with lots of drugs and hookers.  I figure that I would get a shit load of traffic when I post our antics on Bigrips.wordpress.com (soon to be just bigrips.com) and possibly make enough money off our stories to buy bigrips.com for $1695.  Anyway, below is the conversation that I had with his assistant on email, I am seriously considering this.  And she says it’s ok to ask him questions about steroid and HGH use, what a fun night that would be.  I can picture the two of us at the Sapphire strip club shooting the shit about sticking needles in my ass while getting a lappy…good times.

With some further thought maybe I should invite him to my birthday bash instead of Giambi

Enjoy…

-SD

From: Seth Davis <bigrips1@gmail.com>

To: spendadaywithjose@yahoo.com

Sent: Mon, April 26, 2010 6:36:41 PM

Subject: pricing to spend a day with Jose Canseco

To whom this may concern,

I am interested in some price quotes to Spend a Day With Jose.

Thank you in advance

Seth Davis

bigrips1@gmail.com

From: Leila Shennib

Date: Tue, 27 Apr 2010 15:28:19 -0700 (PDT)

To: Seth Davis<bigrips1@gmail.com>

Subject: Re: pricing to spend a day with Jose Canseco

Hi there! Here is some info on Spend a day with Jose. Please let us know if you have any questions and what day youd like to reserve!

Spend a day with Jose

Come spend a day with ex baseball legend and reality TV personality Jose Canseco and his girlfriend, bikini model Miss Leila!

Choose from a list of exciting activities to participate:

·        Softball practice/hitting

·        Golf

·        Hiking

·        Bowling

·        Beach

·        BBQ, swim

·        Boxing/Gym

·        Open to ideas of other ways to spend the day

How it works: Any day with Jose Canseco is an exciting one! Choose your favorite activity (or activities) from the list and we will set up a 5 hour day doing just what you want! Get a chance to ask Jose all the questions you have been waiting so long to ask, get the autographs you’ve always wanted, take pictures and videos. This is not an opportunity to be missed!

Cost: 1100/day (5 hours) Up to two individuals, each additional person 500$.

Transportation and cost of activities, meals, etc are not provided

STRCTLY FOR FANS NO MEDIA OR COMMERCIAL ENDORSMENTS

From: Seth Davis

To: Leila Shennib

Sent: Tue, April 27, 2010 3:56:13 PM

Subject: Re: pricing to spend a day with Jose Canseco

Sounds good I am a big fan

Is there an option for him to consult me on how to administer winstrol and hgh. I know he is open about and has helped ex- athletes in the past,

Thanks for you prompt reply

Seth

Sent via BlackBerry

From: Leila Shennib

Date: Tue, 27 Apr 2010 16:00:41 -0700 (PDT)

To: <bigrips1@gmail.com>

Subject: Re: pricing to spend a day with Jose Canseco

No he does not do that


From:
Seth Davis

To: Leila Shennib

Sent: Tue, April 27, 2010 4:02:21 PM

Subject: Re: pricing to spend a day with Jose Canseco

Ok, well he doesn’t have to give me the shots. If I asked a question or 2 would he be willing to answer them?
For $1100 I hope he’d give me a tip

From: Leila Shennib

Date: Tue, 27 Apr 2010 16:06:41 -0700 (PDT)

To: <bigrips1@gmail.com>

Subject: Re: pricing to spend a day with Jose Canseco

If you would like to participate in spend a day with jose he can answer questions for you

From: Seth Davis

To: Leila Shennib

Sent: Tue, April 27, 2010 4:11:21 PM

Subject: Re: pricing to spend a day with Jose Canseco

What is the prefered payment method check, paypal, etc?

From: Leila Shennib

Date: Tue, 27 Apr 2010 16:11:42 -0700 (PDT)

To: <bigrips1@gmail.com>

Subject: Re: pricing to spend a day with Jose Canseco

Paypal or cashiers check


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So if you haven’t already heard Jose Canseco had a meltdown on Twitter the other day.  Since no one cares about this guy the main stream media didn’t spend much time on the non-story.  My buddy Kdogg emailed me a link from Sportspickle.com which gave the first baseball player to reach the 40/40 club the honor of Tweet of the week. I love how blogs and some news outlets are calling this a twitter ‘meltdown.’  My ass this was a meltdown, this was a bonafide ‘roid rage, on twitter.  So while Seth ate his dinner he deciced to have fun with Jose, read below (scroll down all the way & read bottom to the top).  Enjoy

You can read his Tweet meltdown here and my tweets to Jose here http://twitter.com/BigRips

P.S. I am emailing his Yahoo account to ask if I can spend a day with him, hopefully he replies

-SD

@JoseCanseco If I pay to spend a day with @JoseCanseco can I elect the No Steroids option? I have a heart murmur…

half a minute ago via web in reply to JoseCanseco

@JoseCanseco People pay money to spend a day with you? Do their names include Manny Ramirez, Sammy Sosa, Roger Clemens and Marion Jones?

2 minutes ago via web

JoseCanseco Email spendadaywithjose@yahoo.com for information and pricing on Spend A Day With Jose! Serious inquiries only please
2:17 PM Apr 23rd via TweetCaster
Retweeted by you and 15 others

@JoseCanseco did you sex on steroids with Roger Clemens?
4 minutes ago via web in reply to JoseCanseco

@JoseCanseco So your twitter #meltdown wasn’t a #meltdown I know. It was a roid rage on Twitter, which is pretty tough.
7 minutes ago via web in reply to JoseCanseco

@JoseCanseco if that society existed now u’d be dead already rite? Remember how you lied about taking roids? With ur rule u’d be dead right?
8 minutes ago via web in reply to JoseCanseco

@JoseCanseco I think your idea of starting a new society and “if you don’t tell the truth your dead”
11 minutes ago via web in reply to JoseCanseco

@JoseCanseco I am not a follower I am a listener. Tell me how to stick a needle in my ass I am listening
13 minutes ago via web in reply to JoseCanseco

@JoseCanseco I am not scared to share something personnel Mr. Canseco. I use to jerk off to your 1988 Tops card
14 minutes ago via web in reply to JoseCanseco

@JoseCanseco I am a strong warrior Jose, I eat egg whites and wheat bread. This was not a #meltdown today
17 minutes ago via web in reply to JoseCanseco

@JoseCanseco no one can kick your ass Jose, well expect maybe Batman and William Wallace
18 minutes ago via web in reply to JoseCanseco

@JoseCanseco You know they were pencil neck losers antagonizing you from theirs mothers basement and that it wasn’t a ‘meltdown’ Jose, rite?
20 minutes ago via web in reply to JoseCanseco

@JoseCanseco The media will call this a ‘twitter meltdown’ all day omorrow
22 minutes ago via web in reply to JoseCanseco

@JoseCanseco I totally agree that you didn’t have a ‘meltdown’
24 minutes ago via web in reply to JoseCanseco

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