12 horse race at Pimlico featuring Kentucky Derby winner Super Saver. Lookin At Lucky (6th in the Derby) also returns along with Paddy O’Prado (3rd), Dublin (7th) and Jackson Bend (12th). Will set up to be a completely different race than KD 136 with the absence of speed. I’ve had success at Pimlico in the past and expect big things come Saturday evening. Herrrre we go:
1. Aikenite (20-1) Solid effort last time out in the Derby Trial finishing behind Hurriance Ike for the place. However Eightyfiveinafifty set quick fractions that day allowing for Aikenite’s impressive run down the backstretch. I do not see the Preakness setting up as quick which doesn’t bode well for this horse. Career best Beyer that day in the slop. Pimlico looks to be dry. Throw in a 1-8 lifetime record and I’m gonna pass.
2. Schoolyard Dreams (15-1) Throw out his whiff last time out in the Wood in which Eskendereya made every horse in that field look like a bitch and this one seems to always fire. Impressive in the Tampa Bay Derby in which he outdueled Super Saver finishing a nose behind Odysseus. Training very well with 2 most recent workouts resulting in bullets. My only concern is the distance. I’ve watched his last 3 races and he’s lost ground on the backstretch in all 3. However, I think he made his move too early in 2 of those last 3 and simply tired out. I like the jockey switch to Coa. (Jockey/Trainer winning at a 27% clip) Price should be sexy. Using.
3. Pleasant Prince (20-1) My choice in the Derby Trial. Improved position but never a factor. Looks like he hit his peak 3 back finishing behind Ice Box in the Florida Derby. I question his recent form and I hold grudges. Nope.
4. Northern Giant (30-1) Some nice efforts in the Risen Star and Lane’s End but both races were trouble free with less than intimidating fields. Blown away by the likes of Super Saver, Dublin, and Line of David last time out in the Arkansas Derby. Can’t see this long shot shocking the world. Nah.
5. Yawanna Twist (30-1) I’ve followed this one for a little while now. I like him alot but am scared by the distance. 2nd best in the Gotham and Illinois behind Awesome Act and American Lion respectively. Some nice Beyers in his resume but pedigree favors shorter distances. Lightly raced but versatile and trained by Rick Dutrow who has a Preakness win under his belt. I already have 50 on him to win at 30-1. I would feel so much better about him if Awesome Act and American Lion fared better in the Derby. My longshot.
6. Jackson Bend (12-1) Every so called expert says the same thing about Jackson Bend. He tries hard and always fires. Yada yada yada. What have you done for me lately? 2 places behind Eskendereya a football field back in both and a debacle in the Derby finishing 19 back after a tough trip. 5 career wins. 0 career graded stakes wins. Siding with others.
I have chores to do (GTL minus the T) and don’t want to rush through this to get it done. I’ll have Part 2 completed later on this afternoon.