First off before you call the local authorities and put a APB out for Duceman, he was away this weekend tee’ing it up. Ok now you can now exhale. He didn’t play anything Saturday so there wasn’t any picks for me to post on his behalf. Last word from Duce is that he will be back today with picks, so you can all rest easy.
I had a solid day yesterday would have been great if A&M didn’t choke away a 20-3 lead. I’m looking to build on up my base for the 4pms, I like several games later on, plus the Patriot are on on at 1pm so I definitely have a tough time focusing on the other games. The theme today is how wrong the experts always are. In the past I’ve blogged and drawn the comparison between NFL ‘experts’ and ‘analysts’ and weatherman. And what perfect weekend to compare both. All we heard from people around Boston and New England that this weekend was going to be a wash out. Well, for the past two days I’ve had my AC cranked up and minus a few passing showers it’s been like an early August weekend. Humid as all hell, muggy and clear skies. This time of the year the NFL experts on ESPN, FOX and CBS do their segments on sexy teams and hot players. It gets people all fired for one public team come crashing down. I never watch pre-game show anymore, ever. These guys can’t even pick straight up winners. By no means am I an expert, but Mike Ditka, Chris Berman and Co. are not either. I’d rather lose going with my gut. Here are my picks as you enjoy your coffee and Pizzelle on this fine NFL Sunday morning…
Miami -1 @ Cleveland – Miami has played a much tougher schedule early this year, losing to the Pats and Texans. For some reason they are a better team on the road. As much as Pats fans would not agree with me Miami was a play or two from staying close in that game. Be the Fins +1
Giants +9 1/2 @ Philadephia – I bet on Aaron Rodgers last year after his concussion game. He was not the same. I watched the presser with the Eagles trainer about Vick and he made some good points to sway me.Vick is completely out of his routine, spent more time with the training staff then team per NFL post-concussion rules and was very frustrated during the week. Bet the Gmen getting +9 1/2
J’Ville +3 1/2 @ Carolina – The Jags actually have a really good defense and secondary, no one knows this. Jack Del Rio loves to run, almost to a fault. I hate betting on rookie QBs but if Gabbert is going to play well this is it, Carolina ranks at the bottom on all pass defense catorgies. Don’t get caught up in the Cam I Am hype just yet, bet the Jags +3 1/2.
Houston +4 1/2 @ New Orleans – The Saints cannot run the ball and everyone still thinks the Texans have a shit defense. I think the Saints are way over rated, been saying it all year. Foster is out, but Ben Tate can carry the ball. I love the Texans +4 1/2 watch out for the upset.
As always be sure to pace yourselves my degenerate friends it’s a long weekend