It’s been the year of the Chalk. I’ve been waiting for a weekend when everyone gets burned. NFL teases fail, the Top 10 CFB teams don’t cover or win and the obvious high scoring games go way under. If you’ve been betting the top consensus games on Wagerline.com then your book has probably been paying your mortgage each month this sports betting season. No one, not even Ace Rothstein could handicap this season. I’m going to try to stay consistent It’s like playing black jack at 3rd base all night, pick a strategy. If you are going to hit on 16 then hit on 16. Don’t waffle and pick and choose your moves. Here is my early picks as you enjoy your coffee and Pizzelle on another fine October morning in the Land of Milk and Honey…
12:05 pm Oklahoma State @ Missouri +7 1/2 – The Sooners have the 100 worst defense in the country, Mizzou has a top 15 Defense and a top 30 Offense. All three of their losses were on the road to top level teams – KSU, ASU and Oklahoma – they were competitive in all three. The are getting much better on defense as Sheldon Richardson is starting which should stop the run and last week against Iowa they committed zero penalties. As good as Oklahoma State is on offense they converted a lousy 17% of their 3rd downs. Not a good stat when you are on the road playing a very good defense. Bet Mizzou +7 1/2
Good luck,
-SD
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