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The 2010 Phoenix Open officially got me addicted to betting on the PGA tour. Last year I picked Hunter Mahan +6000, who beat out Y.E. Yang and Rickie Fowler on Sunday to win.  It was an intense day, I remember screaming at the TV on every shot and putt as Hunter came back from 4 down.  To remind everyone the Phoenix Open is played at the TPC Scottsdale a Tom Weiskopf’ course.  The Stadium hole is football style stadium with a crowd more into heckling the players, shooting jager bombs and streaking.  It’s always during Super Bowl Weekend and it attracts a party atmosphere and plenty of tail from U of A and ASU.  It’s a solid golf tournament to watch too.

I’ve spent part of the last day or so researching the 2011 Phoenix Open field.  My Guy is offering nearly 50 players it’s almost too much to focus on, I want to bet 10 players.  One guy who I will bet is an absolute shocker.   As loose as the event may seem the course does play pretty tough.  Hole 16 is a  party for the spectators, but it actually doesn’t allow for low scoring.  A guarded hole with a sloped green.  Everyone thinks the players buckle with all the pressure, instead the green requires you to be accurate.  My favorite hole after the 16th is hole 17.  It’s a 332 yard par 4 that you can drive, a lot of players gun for eagle here it gives players hope to make a move late in the round. The conditions are going to be shit the first two days, 30s  and windy, it’s anyones to win. After much deliberation I am gonna roll with these guys.

Geoff Oglivy +2500 – Lot’s of buzz around Oglivy this weekend as he makes his first start.  He had a terrble year last year, but had a 2nd at the Deutsche Bank in the FedEx Cup playoffs.  He’s the lowest odds of any player I’m taking, I’m on a bunch of sleepers this week.

Fredrick Jacobson +5000 – He has played well in the first three events this year, finishing in the top 35 in all four.  Jacobson has a top 10 at the TPC.

Jeff Overton +5500 – I was high on Overton last year during the FedEx cup, but he couldn’t win one.  He made the Ryder Cup so he has plenty new experience from 2010.  What he lacks in accuracy  off the tee he makes up for when he scrambles. Overton is the best on the Tour from 125 yards in which results in the high amount of Eagles (ranked 3rd) this year.  He came in 24th last year and had another six 10 tens and three 2nds.

Y.E. Yang +5500 – The Tiger slayer and former US Open champ was a duck hook in the drink away from beating Mahan last year, finished 3rd.

Andres Romero +8500 – Continuing my selection of wicked long shots.  Romero finished 14th last year at the WM Open and shot in the 60s all four rounds.

Aarron Baddley +10,000 – Yes he’s plus 10 grand and I can’t pass this up.  The promising career for the Aussie-American from Lebanon New Hampshire regressed last year.  He had a horrible 2010.  Baddeley has two career win and one in at the TPC Scottsdale.  Too high of odds to pass on a past winner, if he wins I’ll buy bigrips.com.

Good luck,

-SD

 

 

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Duceman’s Ryder Cup

I love the Ryder Cup. The Cup on our home soil in ’99(Brookline) was one of the best American Sports moments that I can remember.

Fast forward to Wales in 2010. The Europeans never lose on their home turf and they certainly aren’t about to start when the US is throwing out dudes like Jeff Overton. I love Rickie Fowler but the dude isn’t ready and can’t be expected to compete with guys like Graeme Mcdowell and Rory Mcilroy. The Euro’s are absolutely stacked this year. I consider the current line of Europe -160 and absolute gift. I’m hitting the Europeans hard here. It’s not personal, It’s strictly business. You can never let emotion get in the way of handicapping.

Europe -160 over USA- **30 unit play****

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This is getting comical.  I just got up and I feel like I drank 11 Miller Hi Life’s and took shots of tequila, oh wait I did.  So I b-lined for the faucet for a glass of water and slugged back 4 Advil to rid myself of a splitting headache.  I am obviously oblivious to anything that happened after 9:45 last night, so I forgot that the Celtics lost, that I didn’t get my Floyd Mayweather bet in and that Boston has shit in the water.  So I went to Boston.com to read if there was an update and how long it would be before I turned into a Zombie, from drinking the tap water.  I came across this Q&A which was very informative. I’ve highlighted my favorite questions below, as well as todays free money picks.

Q. What are the risks if I drink the tap water?

A. For most people, minor gastrointestinal illness. The biggest concerns are for those with compromised immune systems, such as people with HIV or who are undergoing chemotherapy.

Q. Can Magic Johnson drink the water since he has just traces of HIV?

A. Magic will be fine he gets away with everything, but if you did than you’ll needed a big bottle of  Imodium AD

Q. What about my pets?

A. Use the same precautions for pets as for people.

Q What about when I take a piss in a urnial and the water spashes back on my skin?

A.  You’ll have to squirt Purell on your skin immediately so that you do not turn into a flesh easting Zombie

Q. Is it OK to shower?

A. Certainly, but you should avoid swallowing water while doing so.

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Taking the following…

Marlins Run Line (Jason Johnson) +105 vs Wasinghton Nationals (John Lannan)

Phil Mickelson -150 vs Rory Mcilory at Quail Hollow.  Rory’s girlfriend is a YWB pic HERE

The Bucks +525 over the Atlanta Hawks, I am on the Fear the Deer bandwagon

Good Luck

-SD

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We went 1-1-1 yesterday on the 30 unit plays. Whatever. I’m still shocked that Steve Marino shot a 69. He’s a Dooshbag. It’s been a fun Masters and We are pulling for Westwood hard here in the Duceman house. Remember Westwood was one of my picks. From my preview..

Lee Westwood: 22-1– Lee is always in the hunt in a major. He has to be bet on.

I reloaded on him after round 2 at 4-1. In golf, you go big or go home. If Westwood wins, this will be a monster Masters.

Reloading on Westwood to win: 11-8. Thats 22-1, 4-1 and 11-8. Solid value on all. he gets no love from American book makers.

Westwood over Mickelson 3 ball +130. +130? Are you shitting me? The #4 player in the world. Come one man.

Ricky Barnes +165 over Poulter- 3ball. I love Ricky and this line is inflated. I took Ricky last-minute yesterday in 3 ball over AK and got a nice check on a +155 line.

Bill Haas PK over Marino**30 unit Play**– Marino doesn’t drop a 69 on my boy Billy again.

Tiger Woods -115 over Mickelson **30 unit play**-3 ball. Whenever you get Tiger Woods at anything close to a PK. You have to hit it very hard. Love this bet.

Toronto Blue Jays +105 over Orioles** 30 unit play** are you shitting me? My boy Shaun Marcum is getting money vs the fucking Orioles? I love the Jays today. Pounding the snot out of this.

Good luck today gentlemen.

Record: 198-148

30 unit play record: 65-40

NCAA Tourney 30 unit play record: 19-11

College football bowl record: 17-10

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Lots of golf left and if Tom Watson can somehow, by the grace of god, pull it out. I’m retiring from work for 5 years.

Very Dissapointed in some of my picks. I got a few in the hunt and if Westwood can pull it out it would be nice.

Here is what I’m looking at.

Saturday 3 ball-Please note, I put enough on a tie so that I don’t lose that way. It won’t be a loss:

Sean Ohair over Kenny Perry-30 Unit Play**

Bill Hass +110 over Steve Marion** 30 unit play**

Phil Mickelson -150 over YE Yang ** 30 unit play**

Reloading to win:

Westwood: 4-1

Kim: 9-1

and a chunk on the under rated Rickey Barnes at 25-1.

God speed.

Record: 197-147

30 unit play record: 64-39

NCAA Tourney 30 unit play record: 19-11

Tourney overall record: 30-23-2

College football bowl record: 17-10

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The Masters. Outside of March Madness, the best 4 day sports weekend of the year. It’s finally here. The selections have been made. We have delivered in 2 of the last 3  majors. That’s better than the experts. Good luck.

Kuchars wife. Smoking..

Duce’s Picks of the Tourney

Favorite(other than Tiger): Paul Casey: 25-1  I love this guy. Seems like a solid dude. #3 in the world. He has won 10 times in Europe and how about 3 top ten finishes at Augusta? Top 20 last year and he’s always in the hunt. He will DEFINETELY be in the hunt on Sunday. He looks like an Umpa Loompa but he averages 290 off the tee.

Ernie Els: 12-1 This dude is hotter than Jessica Alba in Into the Blue . He’s been on fire this year and he’s no stranger to Augusta. In 4 straight years, between 2000-04 he finished no worse than 6th at The Masters. With the way he has played, it would be asinine to not consider him a favorite. Outside of Woods of course.

Middle: Rory Mcilroy: 50-1 This kid is an absolute beast. He finished 2009 ranked 9th in the world and he’s 21 years old. He played at Augusta last year as a 20-year-old. How did he do? How about 20th place and 3rd in driving distance. How about a 10th at the US Open? I’m putting a sizeable wager on this young lad from Northern Ireland. You know that half his winnings are buying RPG’s for the IRA. I’m cool with that. I have always supported the IRA.

Long shot: Andres Romero: 100-1I have loved this guy ever since he made 10 birdies in one round at the British Open. He had a top 10 finish in 2008 and last year was #2 in driving distance. He’s ugly as holy hell but I don’t care because I’m not gay.

Other dudes I will be wagering on:

Tiger Woods: 4-1– We all know Tiger won’t be pounding any tail this week. To not throw at least some money on him is dumb. Here is why:  He has won the Masters 4 times and at the ripe age of 21 he won at Augusta by 12 shots. He has won a US Open by 15 shots. That’s just plain silly. Enough said. As if you didn’t know Tiger was good.

Angel Cabrera: 66-1 Are you kidding me? The defending champion is really 66-1? Last year he was the pick of the tourney and he delivered. I’m deeply disturbed that he no longer smokes butts. Some people were just meant to be smokers. Just like Oprah was meant to be fat. Angel is long and shows up in Majors. I will never forget the bounce he got off that tree in the playoff. Best , most cluth bounce I have ever seen. Better to be lucky than good eh? Let’s not forget that this guy has won the US Open too. 66-1? A bargain.

Alvaro Quiros:66-1 this guy is a stud. He’s in the top 50 in world, finished 20th in the race to Dubai. He’s 26 years old and he’s known for being a sleazy, womanizer all over Europe.  Not to mention, he won 3 times last year in Europe. Here’s the key with this dude. He picks up hot, slutty chicks AND by the way, he averages 310 yards off the tee. By far the longest hitter in Europe. I would think that would be a nice combo for Augusta. It’s worked for Tiger.

Matt Kuchar: 66-1- I have always liked this guy. Ever since he finished in 21st place as an 18-year-old Amateur. That’s impressive. That same year, he came in 14th at the US Open. The potential has always been there. He’s finally been playing well and he’s played Augusta plenty of times as he is Georgia Tech Yellow Jacket. Google his wife, you will know this dude has some serious game with chicks. That’s always enough for a bet.

Kenny Perry: 80-1- yes, Kenny is an old dude. Maybe it’s because he’s from Appalachian Kentucky and He has like 45 great grand children. It’s not his fault his kids were having kids when they were 11. Let’s not forget that the Gambler really should have won last year. I will gladly drop a couple bucks on him at 80-1. He’s long enough to be in the hunt and he is no where near as old as he looks.

Ross Fisher:66-1- This guy is a stud. He shows up in Majors. He came in 5th at the US Open and was on his way to winning the British with a two-stroke lead in the last round before catching a bad break. He knows how to win and expect him to be in contention on Sunday.

Trevor Immelman:150-1- yes, he’s been hurt. Yes, he’s South African. For all I know, he might still believe in Apartheid. However, you can’t argue with a guy who has gotten it done at Augusta before. 150-1? Gladly.

Tom Watson: 250-1 last year what he did at the British was one of the best sports stories of all time. You know that he can beat it with the young lads and he’s one of the best golfers of all time.

Stewart Cink: 80-1- this guy has been forgotten since he won the British. I follow him on Twitter and he’s a good dude. I would definitely drink a couple of beers with him. I think 80-1 here is a solid value. I always root for Stewart and he won us  some money on the British last year and we haven’t forgotten.

Ryo Ishikwawa: 125-1- In Japan, this guy makes Dice K look like Shannon Doherty. The kid has Charisma and I like him. Worth a 3 dollar bet. Which is more than what  Dice K is worth.

Lee Westwood: 22-1– Lee is always in the hunt in a major. He has to be bet on.

Other bets I’m making:

Rory Mcilroy to make the cut -300

Paul Casey to make the cut -450

Record: 197-147

30 unit play record: 64-39

NCAA Tourney 30 unit play record: 19-11

Tourney overall record: 30-23-2

College football bowl record: 17-10

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Duceman’s Saturday

Shocked. Stunned. Sad. I can’t believe what happened last night. I can’t believe that Norther Iowa didn’t score a single FG in the last 10mins and 30 seconds. They had that game. It was the right side to be on. Yes, being on the right side and losing is possible and it happened last night.

St. Mary’s was absolutely putrid and embarrassing and I loved Evan Turned until last night. What a fucking Douche bag he is. He blew the game down the stretch, didn’t pass the ball once in the last 3 minutes. It was painful to watch. You could see it coming. It was a killer. I was sad and depressed. I was shocked. I have tried to move on with my life. I couldn’t sleep. Thank god for the Dukies.

Today:

Butler +4.5 over Kansas State** 30 unit play**- This is going to be a good game. K-state HAS to be a little gassed after their epic win against Xavier. Butler is so disciplined, so veteran and so well coached, it’s hard to pass on the points here. I think Butler can really win this game, win i think like that, I always take the points and pound it.

West Virginia +5 over Kentucky** 30 unit play** no one seems to be giving WV much of shot in this game. I think it’s going to be a great game. I will take the points.

Golf:

I bet 100 bucks on Davis Love to win at Bay Hill. He was 16-1 this morning, which is ridiculous. He’s tied for the lead and he needs the win. I advise a play on him ASAP.

Good luck you bucket heads.

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Yesterday was disgusting. It was so bad, that I had to drink the pain away. I’m still feeling it this morning. I’m completely embarrassed.

I still have my confidence. Here are today’s picks

Ohio State -3.5 over Minny **30 unit Play**

Richmond +4 over Temple **30 unit Play**

GT +9.5 over Dukies

Kentucky -7 over Miss St

Golf: Monster bet today.

Charlie Scwartzel to win: 3-1 this kids is a stallion. He’s a beast. He’s already won twice this year and he’s currently tied for the lead with Ernie Els. 3-1? I love it? I was kiddy when I saw it.

Record: 158-120

30 unit play record: 43-27

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Boo Weekley Riding the Bull, awesome

Well, my win streak came to an end last week.  Camilo Villegas was victorious shooting a blistering -13 under.  Villegas was the first golfer ever to shoot -10 under or better at the Honda Classic, a very tough course.   My best golfer was Vijay Singh, finished tied for fourth.  He had a terrible Sunday and basically vomited all over himself on the front nine, making me hate him ever more.

This week the PGA has two tour stops.  First, don’t be afraid of a golf course nicknamed “Blue Monster”, this place will yield very low scores.  TPC Blue Monter at Doral is a great looking course, but doesn’t compare to the Honda Classic in terms of difficulty.  Phil fired a -19 under last year, if you don’t shoot in the 60s each day, you can’t win.

My picks

Paul Casey (+1600) It was either him or Villegas, if Villegas wins I’ll kill myself

Anthony Kim (+3000)  One of these days I want to put all my money on AK and just bank of him winning, he is going to win tournaments this year, yes plural.  Stick with him so you aren’t on the sidelines when he does.  It’s almost his turn to win, the young guns on the tour each have a win this year, Villegas, Watney and Poulter.  Kim is next…stick with him.

Dustin Johnson (+3000) Big odds for the FedEx Cup leader, the Monster plays tough if it’s really windy, Dustin already won at Pebble this year… in the wind

Robert Allenby (+3500) flying under the radar, 4 Top Tens this year

Stewart Cink (+6000) Florida guy playing in Florida, can’t pass on this

Can’t believe I am passing on Mick, but when you bet on him he basically gives you mini heart attacks for 4 days, I don’t need that.

Next, The Puerto Rico Open, I know nothing about.  I took a look at the golfers and the field is actually ok.  Guys like Boo Weekley, Rory Sabbatini, and Mark Calcavecchia are playing.  I’m not going nuts on this event so I will put small money on two guys

Joe Ogilvie (+3300) No not Geoff Ogilvy, Joe Ogilvie is a pretty good golfer who finished in the Top 10 at the Phoenix Open and had a great weekend at the Honda Classic, I think he shot the best two day score over the weekend.

Boo Weekley (+4000) Boo is a pretty good golfer, very inconsistent, but a Ryder Cup team member a couple years ago.  Plus he is just a funny bastard and I like rooting for him (see the YouTube clip)

Good Luck

-SD

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Seth is fresh off a great weekend of golf betting, I had Ian Poulter and Paul Casey in the finals at the WGC, so I am looking to duplicate that luck this week.  I am so pumped for this weekends tourney at the TPC Scottsdale, the Waste Management Phoenix Open, the second event in the Grand Caynon state in two weeks.

If you haven’t seen a round or two at the TPC, please do yourself a favor and watch it this weekend.  The TPC Scottsdale is more of a party then a tournament and the focal point is the famous Par 3 Hole #16.  The 16th hole is a shit show; it’s completely enclosed by a stadium, the crowd just for the hole is 20,000 boozed up fans, there are bleachers, beer stations, fans are allowed to be as drunk and loud as they want, plenty of hot, half dressed ASU chicks there just for the party, the golfers have to enter and exist through a tunnel and some players even get booed …it would have been a great tourney for Tiger’s return.  Like I said do yourself a favor and just watch, trust me.

My picks

Phil Mickelson (+600) The Peoples Champ thrives at this course he is a fan favorite, a local, who went to ASU the crowd absolutely busts a nut when he tee’s off on 16, and he loves every second of it. (Watch the YouTube clip 4:30 mark)

J.B. Homes (+1900) Has a couple wins on this PGA stop, a big bat off the tee, he crushes it and the TPC is very forgiving so he should be on the leaderboard all weekend

Brian Gay (+3000) I liked him last weekend at the WGC he did well made it to the Quarterfinals

Anthony Kim (+4000) His odds seem too high, probably because he’ll be out all night  boozing and trying to bang an ASU Cheerleader, god bless him

Hunter Mahan (+6000) Hunter is going to win a few this year, huge odds

Good luck & enjoy

-SD

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