Seth’s NFL Sunday Playoff #bets

 

What a game last night for the Patriots, they must have had divine intervention working for them. Factoid for you all. The home teams are 6-0 ATS, Favorites are 4-2 (both road favs lost) and 5/6 games have gone over the total.

My bets for the early game…

Houston @ Baltimore -7 - Doesn’t this game feel like the fill game that no one gives a shit about. Everyone is waking up slowly from their slumber and is still talking about the 49ers – Saints epic ending and the blowout in Foxboro. No one will start paying attention until like midway through the 2nd quarter because they’ll have forgotten that it’s back to the 1pm start time. By that time TJ Yates will have thrown a pick 6 to Ed Reed and the Ravens will be up 2 scores.  I’ll bet against rookie QBs on the road any day of the week, especially a dome/warmer climate team on the road in place like Baltimore mid January.  I’m betting the Ravens – 7

Props:

Will there be a defensive/ special teams TD YES +160 or NO – Yes, Yates to Reed for 6 will happen at some point.

Total QB sacks for the game O/U 5 – The Ravens and Houston are both in the top 5 for my sacks per game, taking the over

Torrey Smith longest reception O/U 32 1/2 – I’ve watched a decent amount of Ravens football, Flacco always throws deep at least 2 or 3x a game to Smith, whether he catches is up to Smith who can have stone hands. Give me the OVER of 32 1/2 yards for the longest reception 

Good luck,

-SD

Seth’s “There is no God” Patriots – Broncos #Bets

 

I’m not going to belabor the point too much, but I don’t believe in Tim Tebow. If you have talked to me, read my posts or heard me call into the Felger & Mazz show in the last 2 months, you would know this. The facts are perfectly clear. Tim had a winning streak against less than mediocre opposing QBs,who couldn’t stay on the field. He won his first playoff game because of a horrid game plan by Dick Lebeau (who has to almost be in Joe Pa status), Ryan Clark’s sickle cell and a back up a center not being able to snap a shotgun pass. When Tim was in a position to win the game on their last possession in regulation Tim one hopped a wide open Demaryius Thomas, running a post on 3rd and 8. It showed Tim can’t string consecutive passes underneath, which plays perfectly into the Pats zone defense. Make him complete a shit load of passes if he does and can score a lot, then we are not good enough to be in the playoffs and we’d lose to the Ravens/ Texans next anyway. Here is  my pick which might surprise you as your enjoy your coffee and Pizelle on a cold, but at least there’s no snow, NFL Playoff Saturday in January.

Denver @ New England -20 1/2 – 20 1/2 what kind of line is that? Well My Guy offers “adjusted spreads” and if I’m that adamant that this is going to be blow out city, I have to put my money where my mouth is. Also is +230. I rarely predict scores (I think I’m 2-0 this year when I do) Give me the Pats rolling the Willis McGahee lead Denver Broncos at 41-17, bet the 13 1/2 and 20 1/2.

Saints vs 49ers – 3 1/2 - Once again I’m going with the adjusted line idea. I don’t love this bet as much as the Pats but I like the payout, bet San Fran -3 1/2 +255

Props:

McGahee & Ball vs BJGE & Woodhead +24 1/2 receiving and rushing yards – I  like the Pats tandem in this especially if they go with the hurry up, you’ll see more of Woodhead than Ridely or Benny. For good or bad Woodhead always seems to be apart of the Belichick’s game plan in crucial games.

Tom Brady O/U 2 1/2 TD passes - According to my score prediction they run away with this one and that means lots of Brady to Gronk, Welker and don’t be surprised if Ocho grabs one. Bet the OVER 2 1/2.  

Frank Gore O/U 76 yards rushing – Give me the over, the best game plan for the 49ers is for them to grind it out with Gore and to keep the Saints off the field. I Like a

David Akers 8 1/2 points – One of the best kicking seasons of all time, a grinder of game, maybe a funny 18-14 final...I like Akers OVER 8 1/2 points. 

Will Brady Quinn see the field before the 4th quarter Yes +150 / No -120 – If this prop was real I’d bet Yes for a lot of money. How else will Denver pass themselves back into this game?

Good luck, be sure to pace yourselves my degenerate friends,

-SD

Seth’s NFL Playoff “Put your rent check on it” lock

 

Part of my problem is that I am stubborn when it comes to betting sports. I can be hell bent on betting on or against a team. For example last year I bet against the Packers all playoffs, bad idea. Another is the ’07 Red Sox, once they made the playoffs I bet them nearly every playoff and World Series game. One last example was when the Yankees traded for Randy Johnson and I rode him every start when he was -400 and had the “All Juice” lineup to support him. Today I have a gut feeling I’ll start a winning streak like the ‘o7 Sox team. Here is my lock as your enjoy your coffee and pastry on another balmy NFL Sunday in Boston.

Atlanta @ New York – 2 1/2 – I’ve been on the Giants on the last few weeks, even their atrocious lose to the Redskins at home giving -10. I had them every which in that loser. I like their team way too much, probably a little bias too because they Victor Cruz from Umass has been tearing up secondaries. Things that make sense to me. Good playoff QB, as much as you hate Eli he wins. Three WOs and a TE that can’t be stopped, a perfect running back tandem with a fast outside runner and a big between the tackles guy. On defense they can rush the passer, with Osi, Justin Tuck and Jason Pierre Paul. Also, in the Falcons 10 out of the last 11 games for the Falcons have been in dome, the only game outdoors was against the Panthers. I love the GMen so much today it’s scary betting the Giants -2 1/2 I also have them winning the NFC at +900 

TWolves @ Wizards ML +120 – I have’t bet too many NBA games this year but I’m looking to announce me NBA presence with a winner today. The Bullets are 0-7 at home today hosting the TWolves who had a travel day yesterday. I think this condenses schedule is going to hurt traveling teams with short or no rest. They played a home and home agains’t the C’s and lost both, but I like their team with John Wall, Blatche and Nick Young, I think they win today. Bet the Wiz +120

Good luck,

-SD

 

Seth’s NFL Playoff Saturday 2 team teaser #bets

 

Big day in Sports today, the Bruins host the Canucks at 1pm, NFL playoffs, the Compass Bowl and of course the 1-AA College Football Championship. I love sports. Here are my picks on a glorious January Day in Boston.

NFL 2 Team Teaser - I said last week in a post when I took the Bungles that I would vow to never bet on a game that involved them ever again. I said that thinking if they lost they wouldn’t make the playoffs and it wouldn’t matter. Somehow the Bungles lost and made it and are now a key factor in the Pats making the playoffs. It’s my blog so I can change the rules, so what I will do it throw them into a free money tease. Here it is. Texans +2 & Saints/Lions OVER 53 1/2.  This would have been a 3 teamer with the Saints -2, Texans + 5, & Saints/ Lions OVER 50 1/2, but My Guy isn’t accepting 3 Team NFL Playoff teasers….bullshit.

Canucks @ Bruins -170 – After the Bruins beat Calgary 9-nil the other night, I had a moment. Why have I been chasing shitty NFL teams, bad NBA bets and contributing to my 401K,  when if I had been riding the Bruins ML for the last 2 months I would be filthy rich? Part of me knows that once I jump in to captilize on the Bruins winning ways, they’ll lose 2 or 3 in a row, I’ll hate them, then back off betting, then they’ll go off on a 10 game winning streak and I’ll be too timid to jump in. Betting the Bruins today -170.

Arian Foster O/U 90 1/2 yards  - I whiffed last week on Cedric Benson OVER 64 1/2 yards, I thought the bonus would have been a sure thing to help the best. The nice thing about losing is that I watched a lot of the Baltimore – Cincy game. Cincy who I’ve heard has a decent defense couldn’t stop Ray Rice at all, he rushed for like a 190. I’m looking to redeem myself, taking Arian Foster to rush for OVER 90 1/2 yards.

Good luck,

-SD

Seth’s Orange Bowl pick #bets

I’ve been under the weather the last few days, missed a whole bunch of football and betting. Looking to rally with a win in the Orange Bowl tonight

WVU +4 vs Big Mick’s Clemson Tigers – Like the Cincinnati Bungles, Clemson had not won a meaningful game in decades. That ended for the Tigers when they beat then #5 ranked Va Tech 38-10, to make it into a BCS bowl. Both are strong on offense, where Clemson has an advantage is on the D-line. WVU has a patchwork offensive line and Clemson is very good front seven, but I’ve watched/ bet on the Tigers a few times and their secondary cannot stop the pass at all. Plus the ACC (Clemson’s conference) is 2-12 in BCS Bowls, you can’t deny that. Bet the Mountainers +4, sorry Big Mick

Good luck,

-SD

Duceman’s picks..

Penn State +7 over Houston – 9 units.

Georgia -3 over MSU- 4 units

Nebraska +3 over South Carolina- 5 units

 

Seth’s 2012: The year we win it all back, NFL pick #Bets

Good morning. Welcome to the first day of 2012 and the last regular season week for the NFL. I really appreciate that the NFL mixed up the schedule and put division games in week 17, so there are actually real playoff implications. Historically this week is not worth watching, but today there playoff hopes for many so it’s not like betting a preseason game. I won’t get into all the different potential scenarios, as Felger says, it’s a popsicle headache. Here are my picks as you enjoy your coffee and Pizzelle on a epically nice January day in Boston.

Cedric Benson O/U 62 1/2 - I normally don’t lead with player props, but if your Guy or betting site offers a C.Bens rushing prop, bet it. Earlier this week Adam Schefter tweeted that Cedric needs 84 yards to reach 1,100, if he achieves this, he gets a cool $250K. They are playing Baltimore in a game that actually means something, but Marvin Lewis is a players coach and will definitely put him in a position to get this. Especially if they are up big late or getting blown out. Take the OVER 62 1/2 yards

Tennessee -1 @ Houston - The Titans have an outside shot here to make the playoffs. They need some help from other teams (popsicle headache). Plus Houston just announced they are resting a lot of their players. Bet the Titans -1

49ers -12 @ St. Louis – As crazy as it seems, this is a game San Fran wants to win. If so they get the 2nd seed in the NFC, St. Louis cannot put the ball in the end zone and get worse at QB with Kellen Clemens. Bet San Fran -12

Ravens @ Cincy +3 1/2 - In my career I’ve lost more money on Cincy than I do in the Champagne room at Rick’s Cabaret. For some reason I can’t learn my lesson. A lot is in play here for me not to bet them. A home team getting a funny 3 1/2 in a must win game. A good defense. Playing against a division rival with an overrated run defense. Plus Joe Flacco on the road isn’t lighting it up today. I like this game give me Bungles getting 3 1/2. If they don’t cover I vow to never bet on/against them ever again.

Pittsburgh @ Cleveland +7 1/2 - Cleveland is on a 5 game losing streak, but they have been competitive in most those games. They have a good defense, plus Roethlisberger is only playing 20 plays or so. Seneca Wallace is also playing for the starting job in 2012. I’ll take the 7 1/2

Good luck and be sure to pace yourselves my degenerate friends,

-SD

Big Rips reminder that you need to pay your rent & mortgage

Welcome to 2012, picks up soon

-Seth

Happy new year

UVA plus 3 5 units

Seth’s “Mmmmmm Chick-fil-A” Bowl pick #ChickfilaBowl #BowlBets

Ok last one of the day. I’ve gotta do some last minute NYE shopping and get me a top hat and noise maker for tonight. I hear it’s already 2012 in Australia, crazy…It’s NYE I’m psyched!

Virginia vs Auburn -2 1/2 - Going with a better coached and more experienced team tonight. I know Auburn is Cam-less and a shell of their 2010 team, but coach Chizik is 2-0 in bowls. Virginia has a young inexperienced team that was 4-8 last year. Also, I bet one a couple UVa games this year and their QB Michael Rocco (even in their wins) looked like a guy who couldn’t start at St. A’s. I took UVa against NC State and he threw for 35 yards. I like the SEC team in this Bowl, they’ll at least be able to move the ball in the air. Take the Defending National Champion Auburn Tigers -2 1/2

Bowl Season Record 9-9

Happy New Year,

-Seth

 

Seth’s Liberty Bowl pick #BowlBets #LibertyBowl

Vanderbil vs Cincinnati +3 – Cinci has their starting QB back and they’ll need it. Vandy has  a great defense, I’m taking the points. Bet the Bearcats +3

good luck,

-SD

Sent from my iPhone

Mid afternoon with Duceman

Tough loss on Northwestern. That was painful.

Cinci +1.5 over Vandy- 8 units- big bet, this is a different team with Collaros under center. He doesn’t get hurt and they win the Big East.

Illinois -3 over UCLA – 5 units- this is a bet on the Big 10

Seth’s Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl #BowlBets

And I just got Sanduskied in NW…too early for that joke or should I have waited until 2012? I don’t care.

Illinios vs UCLA +3 – I can’t think of a worse game to bet. One team with a losing record, both schools have interim head coaches. Illinois hasn’t won since before Columbus Day weekend, yea that long ago. At least UCLA actually won some games later in the season, they beat two Bowl Team (Cal and ASU). Give me the points, taking the Bruins +3 1/2

Bowl Season Record 9-8

Good luck,

-SD

Sent from my iPhone

Seth’s Sun Bowl pick #SunBowl #BowlBets

Georgia Tech is a triple option threat and their game plan is just run all day. Utah’s best asset is their running defense. I took Utah in their worst lose of the season when they got dropped by lowly  Colorado. The problem Utah will have is keeping pace with Georgia Tech score for score. My Guy has Ga Tech at -2, but I’m taking the ML -130, because of the better odds over buying points.

Bowl Season Record 9-7 pending NW

Good luck,

-SD

Sent from my iPhone

 

Seth’s Meineke Car Care Bowl & Best Win & Worst Beat of 2011 #bowlbets

Happy New Years Eve. Another year of gambling and almost taking Romo down is about done. I was trying to refrain from doing a “Best & Worst of 2011″ post, since every blog and news outlet does one this time of the year, but I’ve had 3 cups of coffee this morning.

Best Win of 2011: Clearly this was my long term baseball prop put in during spring training this year * Ryan Braun to win the NL MVP +2250  * – Ok, so maybe he got some help from PEDs, so I put an asterisk next to it. There are plenty of rumors floating around that his testosterone level was increased by his herpes medication, causing him to fail drug test. Tough break for the guy. All he was trying to do was stop some flare ups. Still my best win of 2011

Bad Beat of 2011: Sticking with the MLB long term bets, my bad beat of 2011 was John Lester OVER 15 1/2 wins. This was a lock. Lester had 10 wins by the All Star break and needed to win just twice in September with the Sox in a Wild Card race. Well, the rest is history. Found out the “Molester” was drinking beer, eating Popeyes’ and playing PS3 with his pals – Lackey and Beckett – on off days. Causing him to lose his last three decisions of the year. Bad beat of 2011.

One more day of College Football Bowl games, I’m going out on a high note today, really liking these games today. Here is my first selection, as you enjoy your coffee and Pizzelle on a cool, damp, by hey we got zero inches of snow this month, December day in Boston.

Texas A&M vs Northwestern +10/ +300 ML - I love this game. Sherman is gone from A&M and an interim coach is calling the game, not even their new HC. I was real high on A&M early on. They run pro-style offense and can put up a shit ton of points. But they turn the ball over a lot. Plus, their defense is porous. I can’t tell you how many beats I had with A&M this year when they had a commanding lead going into the half or 4th quarter because their defense couldn’t stop a runny nose. Give me the Dan Persa led Wildcats +10 and a play on the ML +300.

Bowl Season Record 9-7

Good luck

-SD

Duceman’s early Eve

Georgia Tech -2 over Utah – 8 units – POD

Northwestern +10 – 6 units

Northwestern/AM under 70.5 – 4 units

 

 

Duceman’s Fri night

Oklahoma and Iowa under 58 – 7 units..

Seth’s Insight Bowl #Bet #InsightBowl

Last one of the night before everyone gets too lubed up to bet straight. Iowa’s best player and monster RB, Marcus Coker, is out (suspended). A real hot/cold team Iowa is. In the Big Ten Iowa was last in pass defense and won’t be able to stay on the field since their down to guys they plucked players to run the ball out of co-ed flag football leagues. Lots of Iowa upset chatter out there, give me the Sooners by 20+ points. Betting Oklahoma -13 1/2

Bowl Season Record 8-7

Good luck,

-SD

Sent from my iPhone

Seth’s Music City Bowl #Bet #MusicCityBowl

I’m really indifferent with the Bowl game, I bet both on and against Wake Forest and Mississippi on a few occasions this year. At once point Wake was 4-1 and looking like an ACC champion, but then they went on to lose 4 of 5. I took them against UNC when their stock was high and they got drubbed, badly. Miss State’s best player is their Senior RB Vick Ballard and their running game is their best bet to win. Fortunately for the Bulldogs, Wake Forest cannot stop the run at all. They gave up 300 yards rushing to Vandy, fucking Vandy? In  41-7 loser. Give me the Bulldogs -6 1/2

 

Bowl Season Record 8-6 (pending a loser in the Iowa State game)

Good luck,

-SD

 

Duceman’s music City

Wake Forest +7 over Miss St – 6 units..

Seth’s New Era Pinstripe Bowl at Yankee Stadium #Bet #pinstripebowl

The Big 12 is now 4-0 in Bowl Games and which really bodes well for the “bet better conference theory”. Also, another factor today is the “bet against the ‘home’ team theory”. The Bronx is about an hour from home so there should be a large New York contingency, the public bettor loves that. I like Iowa State for those two reasons. I bet on Rutgers when they lost to Uconn, who blows and all they need to do is win and clinch a BCS berth. Yes Rutgers could have been in a BCS game, I would have bet my inheritance on whoever they played if that game happened. UConn was a common opponent for both teams and Iowa State on the other hand beat the Huskies, ’nuff said. Take the Cyclones – 1/2

 

Bowl Season Record 7-6 (Pending BYU outcome)

Good luck,

-SD

Duceman’s early game

Tulsa -1 over BYU- 6 units- Love Tulsa. Down with the Mormons. Sorry a little late, didn’t hit the publish button.

Seth’s Bell Helicopter Armed Forces Bowl #Bets

Wow, if you were unfortunate to have Toledo last night I feel for you. That was probably one of the worst beats I’ve seen in a while.  I just mailed a thank you note to the O-lineman on Toledo who tried returning that kickoff. Today at noon is when bowl season starts to get a little nuts. Over the next 36 hours there will be 9 Bowl Games. There won’t be much breathing time in between so get ready.

Noon BYU +1  vs Tulsa – The first game of the weekend Bowl blitz is a bit of a coin flip. Both teams didn’t beat any good competition and lost big in the games they were supposed to lose. Tulsa did lose to 4 teams who were all ranked in the top 10 when they played, so they have an edge there. BYU does have a little more experience in Bowl Games, their head coach Bronco Mendenahall (what a name) is 4-2 in bowls. When it comes to stopping the pass Tulsa was one of the worst in their conference and they played in the one of the worst conferences, C-USA. I’ll take the Coogs +2 1/2

Bowl Season Record 7-6

Good luck,

-SD

Seth’s Valero Alamo Bowl #bet

One of the best players in the country trying to drive up his draft stock. Everyone who doesn’t know Robert Griffin III after his Heisman night, will tonight. The guy is s stud. Washington University is a second tier Pac 12 team who, like Cal, was Bowl eligible because they beat Eastern Washington who plays in the Big Sky…Eastern fucking Washington…by 3 points. Ok, that was an early season game, so lets use a late season game. They lost to Oregon State by 17. If RG3 performs well it could mean he is going into draft = big pay day. Also Washington is ranked 98th in the country on Defense, Baylor is worse, but they play in the Big 12. Chunk in the “Better Conference Theory”. Bet the Baylor Bears -9.

Bowl Season Record 6-5 (pending ND)

Good luck,

-SD

 

Seth’s Champs Sports Bowl #bet

Two for two last night, I haven’t seen the Air Force highlights yet, but apparently it was a real bad beat for people who bet Toledo. Another bowl game that I loved at first sight is the late afternoon Champs Sports Bowl. Remember when people gave a shit when FSU and ND played each other? Now they meet in a B tier Bowl Game. The game is in Orlando so more of a home field for the Seminoles, but ND travels well I also like betting against the “home” team theory here. A key thing to note in this game is that FSU will start 4 freshman on the offensive line. I bet on them against Florida and they couldn’t run block and pass protect worth shit. The FSU offense gained only 95 total yards in the win. Watch Michael Floyd  tonight, he’s a giant and vying to be a top 10 NFL pick. Also the logical theory of “Which team had more players partying and not staying in shape during the month break theory” is a safe play here too. Yes I making these theories up day-to-day, but I like them. Bet ND +3 1/2

Bowl Season Record 6-5

Editors note: I couldn’t find any pictures on the interweb of hot ND chicks so I went with this FSU one for your viewing pleasure.

Good luck,

-SD

Duceman lives

but barely. I’m too hungover to speak. I’m sitting in a pile of my own filth. Destroyed Foxwoods last night. A record setting performance.

ND +3.5  over FSU 7 units

Baylor -9.5 over Washington-7 units- No way I’m not betting on RG3.

Seth’s Bridgeport Education Bowl #Bet

Sorry Duceman, you better win a shit load of money  at Foxwoods to pay for 5 unit Cal loss. I’ll take the better conference theory in this one all day. When I first scanned the Bowl games this was one of my top 5 favorite games, been waiting for it all week. Cal beat one team with 7 wins or more and played in the atrocious Pac 12. One of their 7 wins shouldn’t count, making them bowl ineligible, because it was against Presbyterian…fucking Presbyterian! I don’t see the logic in putting any dough on Cal, unless you  are 9 vodkas deep at the blackjack table and can’t see straight. Texas has a good defense, they play in the Big 12, I got fooled once by betting against the Big 12 with UNC the other might. Fool me once shame on you, no way I get fooled twice. Bet the Longhorns -3 to roll tonight.

Bowl Season Record 4-5 (Pending Air Force)

Good luck,

-SD

Wed night rip….

Tonight I’m rolling with Cali. I’m at Foxwoods with my bride so won’t have time to post.
Cali plus 4 over horns for 5 units

Seth’s Military Bowl #Bet

Is this the year of the MAC? I didn’t realize how many teams from this conference can play. 5 teams made a Bowl Game, not bad at all. Next year it will be 6 when Umass starts playing real football. So far MAC teams are 2-1 in Bowl GamesAlso a factor that should be considered is that Toledo’s head coach took the Illinois job so he’s gone. Both teams will run as they are top rushing teams in the country. I’ve bet on both this year. Air Force I took against Navy (big rushing attack) they were dogs by a FG and won outright. I also bet on Boise -30 when they played AF and lost. They looked pretty decent in that game. The one thing that you can count on when betting on service schools is that the players are still in shape from the break and more disciplined, add the slight edge today  as the game is being played in D.C. so they’ll have a few more service people there. I don’t see Toledo fans traveling well to RFK Stadium, for a December Bowl game. A really good rushing team with an option offense is the most frustrating kind of team to bet against, I’m going with Air Force +3 1/2 in the Military Bowl.

Bowl Season Record 4-5

Good luck,

-SD

Ducemans wed

On the road boys
Toledo -3 over af 7 units. Toledo in a landslide

Seth’s “What the fuck is Belk” Belk Bowl #bet

My first guess without Googling it was a Bird species, but apparently a Belk is a department store chain in the south.

My Belk Bowl bet…

8pm NC State vs Louisville - I only bet on NC State once this year and Louisville zero times. I have no feeling on this and unless I wasn’t committed to touching every Bowl Game. I would not bet this normally, well maybe the under. I took NC State in their best win this year against WVU in Morgantown, so I’ll put a wager on the Wolfpack -1.

Bowl record 3-4 (pending a WMU outcome)

Good luck,

-SD

Seth’s Pizza, Pizza, Little Caesars Pizza Bowl #bet

Back below .500 after an excruciating UNC pick yesterday. You know you are in trouble when you read a tweet by Caesars Palace Sports Book GM Todd Fuhrman only a quarter into the first half before you turn the game on.

@ToddFuhrman There are teams that don’t show up to bowl games and then there’s this effort by #UNC through 20 minutes

I’m looking to bounce back tonight in the Little Caesars Pizza Bowl

4:30 PM Western Michigan University vs Purdue – A Classic bet the better conference game. A real bag of shit Big Ten team vs a good MAC team. Purdue lost their best RB (part of my rationale for picking UNC yesterday) and they have a real good run D. Too bad for them WMU doesn’t run the ball. They are pass first and Purdue has a two QB system that is passing challenged. They won’t be able to keep pace with WMU. Bet WMU +2

Bowl Record 3-4

Good luck,

-SD

Duceman’s Tuesday…

We have won 7 straight bowl bets and what looked like a shitty season has turned into something beautiful so far… Nice day on tap here , this is what we got..

Western Michigan ML +125 over Purdue – 6 units(to win 7.5)- Love Western Michigan in this game. I bet them this morning at +3 but didn’t have time to post. Now my book as +1.5.  Purdue top RB and TD grabbing WE are both suspended for this game and lets face it. Purdue doesn’t give a shit. I love this QB Carder, he helped developed the WM offense to the 8th best  in the country.

NC State -1.5 over Louisville- 5 units- this is a tough game. I can’t get a read on the Big East. I love Obrien and I know he will have the Wolfpack up for this game. I think the ACC is under rated and I ‘m betting the Pack wins this game. Will lay the 1.5

Bowl season record: 7-3  +20.6 units

Seth’s Independence Bowl #bet

I was leaning heavy on the stronger conference schedule in the Independence Bowl. Mizzou was constantly challenged this year, they owned the 15th hardest schedule in the country. The list of teams they had to play was unreal. Oklahoma State, Oklahoma, Texas, Texas Tech, Kansas State, Texas A&M and Baylor…even Miami (OH) was a tough non-conference opponent. But that was when they had one of the leading RBs in the Big 12, Henry Josey. He got hurt and  the strong part of UNCs game is their run D so they should be able to slow his back up, they are ranked 14th against the run. It might be pouring at game time, so I am going to put a play on UNC +6.

Bow Season 3-3

Good luck,

-SD

Duceman’s Christmas..

Merry Christmas Big Rippers. I got a remote control Helicopter for Christmas that is so sick. Upon initial launch I immediately violated my neighbors air space..

After a shitty start, we have won 6 straight. Great 9 unit winner on Nevada and they easily could have won that game outright..

Mizzou -5 over UNC- 5 units I love the Tigers in this game. They have had the much more difficult schedule. I’m not sold on the ACC. If Mizzou was in the ACC they would easily be the championship game and probably a BCS bowl. I will gladly lay the 5 in this game.

Bowl season record: 6-3 too lazy to count units right now. We are up in the double digits somewhere.

 

Good luck and have a good Christmas..